Anybody bored enough to do a chart stalk?

[mlgnumbers]

FF originally gave me CH on CD12, then moved them to CD13. Now, if I remove my OPK info, FF moves my CH to CD15.

i had an undeniable positive OPK on CD13, but I didn't O until CD16 last cycle. So, what say ye, Oh Great Wealth o' Knowledge?

Do you think I O'd on CD13 or CD15? I don't want to test too early and get discouraged before I have to be. (With either O day, testing is still a ways off, though.)

ETA - Link in Sig

ETA #2 for Mobile PBers 


My Ovulation Chart

[mlgnumbers]

Whoops! Here you go!


My Ovulation Chart

[Sammich_Cat]

I would agree with FF on due to the positive OPK. The follicular phase changes from cycle to cycle - maybe your body was just ready earlier this time.

ETA: looking at it again I can see what you're saying. The OPK could be positive for you ovulating on CD15 too. I think you'll just have to wait two more days to see if they are higher than CD15 for the 6 day-higher-temps rule.

[wowcheezits]

OPKs can't tell you when you ovulate, only that you're about to. The temps tell you when you ovulate.

[mlgnumbers]

Jan 16, 2015 21:05:49 GMT -5 wowcheezits said:

OPKs can't tell you when you ovulate, only that you're about to. The temps tell you when you ovulate.

I realize that, but I feel like my temps aren't 100% clear. I can see a shift after CD13 and then what seems like another one after CD15. I was just wondering if it's maybe more clear/apparent for people who have more experience interpreting charts.

[wowcheezits]

Jan 16, 2015 21:08:20 GMT -5 mlgnumbers said:

Jan 16, 2015 21:05:49 GMT -5 wowcheezits said:

OPKs can't tell you when you ovulate, only that you're about to. The temps tell you when you ovulate.

I realize that, but I feel like my temps aren't 100% clear. I can see a shift after CD13 and then what seems like another one after CD15. I was just wondering if it's maybe more clear/apparent for people who have more experience interpreting charts.

Then yes I also agree with FF.

[Sammich_Cat]

Jan 16, 2015 21:05:49 GMT -5 wowcheezits said:

OPKs can't tell you when you ovulate, only that you're about to. The temps tell you when you ovulate.

Right, but the temps are a little ambiguous now between the two days IMO.

[Sammich_Cat]

OP did you do an OPK any of the other days and just didn't add it to your chart because they were negative? That would help narrow it down since the surge usually happens 12-48 hours afterwards. (obviously this would still be an estimation until two more temps).

[3houlagirl]

I agree with FF. Even without the OPK, Your temps could just be following a fallback rise pattern.

If you're worried about testing too early, I'd just wait until your period ( as defined by the earlier O ) is late.

[mlgnumbers]

Thank you everyone! I really appreciate your input. I feel like I'm learning a little more each day.

[mlgnumbers]

Jan 16, 2015 21:14:41 GMT -5 Sammich_Cat said:

OP did you do an OPK any of the other days and just didn't add it to your chart because they were negative? That would help narrow it down since the surge usually happens 12-48 hours afterwards. (obviously this would still be an estimation until two more temps).

I did OPKs 1x/day until the test line began to appear, then switched to 3x/day from CD11 to CD14. I had negatives on every day except CD13. On CD 13, I had barely positive at 10a, blazing + in the early afternoon, then a fainter + in the late evening. The morning of CD14, it was clearly - again.

(I'm fascinated by the biology related to OPKs and slightly OCD...which leads to some obsessive POAS syndrome around O.)

[mlgnumbers]

Jan 16, 2015 21:14:56 GMT -5 3houlagirl said:

I agree with FF. Even without the OPK, Your temps could just be following a fallback rise pattern.

If you're worried about testing too early, I'd just wait until your period ( as defined by the earlier O ) is late.

That's what I had considered. I had a fallback rise pattern last month, as well.

[Sparkly]

I agree with FF's interpretation.

[ghostmonkey]

I agree with it for now. It might change to 15, but looks like you are covered timing wise either way, so not a big deal.

[Sammich_Cat]

Jan 16, 2015 21:19:57 GMT -5 mlgnumbers said:

Jan 16, 2015 21:14:41 GMT -5 Sammich_Cat said:

OP did you do an OPK any of the other days and just didn't add it to your chart because they were negative? That would help narrow it down since the surge usually happens 12-48 hours afterwards. (obviously this would still be an estimation until two more temps).

I did OPKs 1x/day until the test line began to appear, then switched to 3x/day from CD11 to CD14. I had negatives on every day except CD13. On CD 13, I had barely positive at 10a, blazing + in the early afternoon, then a fainter + in the late evening. The morning of CD14, it was clearly - again.

(I'm fascinated by the biology related to OPKs and slightly OCD...which leads to some obsessive POAS syndrome around O.)

I like doing the math for OPKs even if it's silly since only temps will tell the truth.
From the math I would reason that ovulation was expected to occur sometime between 10 am CD 14 - the late evening CD15.
As I said though, I like fun math, and this proves nothing.

[mlgnumbers]

I'm the same way, @sammich_cat! And the math does not support O on the same day as the positive. However, last cycle (the first time I'd ever used OPKs), FF marked O as the same day as my +OPK, as well. But I feel like my temps were more clear, and my LP seemed to confirm FF's interpretation. (My usual LP is 13-14 days.) anyway, it's not a huge difference, and timing is fine either way, but the geek in me gets a kick out of learning more and reading other people's thoughts. Thanks for sharing yours!

[hydrangea1019]

I agree with FF on CD 13 being O.
Look at the pattern of temps, rather than one specific day.